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Articles tagged with: 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Maps

Preliminary Observations on the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

By Martin W. Lewis | November 8, 2012 | 11 Comments

Several pundits have claimed that the second major victor in yesterday’s U.S. presidential election was statistician Nate Silver, who correctly picked the winner in every state, thereby seemingly demonstrating the power of Bayesian analysis—when done correctly. In scrutinizing Silver’s final pre-election map, I can find only a few minor instances in which was not fully on-target (Iowa, for example, was …

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