Drought Maps and Rain Forecast Maps
As can be seen from the second map, California’s snowpack is currently very light. The U.S. Weather Service, however, is forecasting a series of storms to hit California over the next week. The Weather Service produces many superb maps. I find that its forecast precipitation maps can be astoundingly accurate. One has to read the text reports carefully, however, to assess reliability. When the various mathematical models employed by the forecasters are all in agreement, then their predictions will generally be spot-on. When the the models conflict, accuracy plummets. I do wish that the service would keep a score-card of the different models, but that is perhaps asking too much.
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